Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control.
نویسندگان
چکیده
We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks prior to their occurrence, we derive an adaptive control scheme that prevents large outbreaks from occurring. The theory is applicable to a wide range of stochastic processes with underlying deterministic structure.
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ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics
دوره 70 4 Pt 2 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2004